What’s causing the devastating flooding in the Midwest? (2024)

ST. LOUIS (AP) — Hundreds of Iowa residents have needed rescue from record-setting flooding that has swamped parts of the state, covering buildings up to their rooftops, shutting down major roads, and disrupting basic services like electricity and drinking water.

Iowa Gov. Kim Reynolds said water in some areas rose above records from 1993, a flood many in the Midwest remember as the worst of their lives. The floods have hit parts of Iowa, South Dakota, Nebraska and Minnesota.

The water was so powerful that it pulled down a train bridge connecting North Sioux City, South Dakota, with Sioux City, Iowa. On the Blue Earth River in Minnesota, water forced its way around the Rapidan Dam and local officials warned of its possible failure.

What’s causing the devastating flooding in the Midwest? (1)

The water is expected to be at its highest early this week — in some places it has already passed — and then the crest of the river will move south, eventually into the Missouri and Mississippi rivers.

“Businesses are shuttered, main streets have been impacted. Hospitals, nursing homes and other care facilities were evacuated,” Reynolds said at a news conference over the weekend, calling the expected damage “staggering.”

It’s hot, too, making dangerous conditions worse.

A look at why waters are so high in the Midwest:

What is causing the bad flooding?

Torrential rains. The hardest hit areas were south of Sioux Falls, South Dakota. The city’s airport received more than 7 inches (17.8 centimeters). More than 11 inches (28 centimeters) fell in Rock Rapids, Iowa, a roughly 45-minute drive to the east.

“It has been just round after round through the month. And then recently, we’ve had a few big rounds,” said Joseph Bauers, a meteorologist with AccuWeather.

Hot air in the Northeast has directed the path of storms through the Midwest, according to Shel Winkley, a weather and climate expert with Climate Central, a nonprofit focused on climate science.

“With that big high-pressure system over the East, that kind of helps steer these and slow these systems down specifically to where we’ve seen the flooding over the past few days,” he said.

What’s causing the devastating flooding in the Midwest? (2)

And the most recent rounds of heavy rain have fallen on wet ground. When soil is wet, it can’t absorb as much new moisture, so more of the rain runs into rivers and streams.

Flooding is a big change for a part of the country that has endured drought in recent years. Rain started to hit the region in late April and early May, according to National Weather Service hydrologist Jeff Zogg.

Then the really heavy storms came Friday and Saturday.

“There were some cases where rainfall was falling at a rate of over 1 inch in 15 minutes, for example,” Zogg said. “And that’s because there’s just so much moisture in the atmosphere that there is a lot of moisture for the thunderstorms to wring out.”

What is a crest and why do they matter?

A crest is the highest level a river reaches before receding, and they are tracked closely by forecasters. It’s essential to know when a crest is expected to hit, how bad it will be and how fast it is traveling down river.

Because recent rains dumped extraordinary amounts of water on the region, rivers rose quickly, and crests are expected soon or have already occurred in some places.

Sioux City Fire Marshal Mark Aesoph told reporters that the Big Sioux River stabilized Monday morning at around 45 feet, over 7 feet higher than the previous record.

“It’s just been difficult to predict what’s going to happen when levels are this high when we have no history with it,” he said.

South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem said other rivers, the James and Vermillion, are expected to crest Wednesday. The flooding is “more spread out” than expected, which is helping lessen flooding in some inhabited areas. It will “bump up” Missouri River levels, but not as much as anticipated, she said at a news conference Monday.

What’s causing the devastating flooding in the Midwest? (3)

“The later and the lower crest levels gave us some time that we need to upgrade some levees that we needed to get done,” Noem said.

While the heaviest rain has been concentrated in northwestern Iowa, parts of northeastern Iowa will see up to an inch on Monday, said Zogg. The rainfall across northern Iowa will take “several days” to make its way through the state. He said the location of the rain was particularly bad for Iowa because it has to drain through the state’s entire river system before exiting.

Since all that water eventually drains into the Missouri and Mississippi rivers, Zogg said, flooding is expected in those big rivers, as well.

And there is the possibility for more rain later this week.

“When it comes to the rainfall and river response, location and timing and the amount” will determine how the river responds and whether floods will get worse, he said.

Is this related to climate change?

In the Midwest, flooding isn’t new. Nor is heavy rain in June. And linking any particular big rainstorm to climate change is difficult, Winkley said.

But, as greenhouse gases warm the planet, the hotter atmosphere can hold more water. That means big rainstorms can pour down even more water, overwhelming sewer systems and flooding downtowns. Plus, bad floods are growing more common, he said.

“The extremes are becoming more extreme,” said Winkley.

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Associated Press reporters Hannah Fingerhut in Des Moines, Iowa, and Margery A. Beck in Omaha, Nebraska, contributed to this report.

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The Associated Press receives support from the Walton Family Foundation for coverage of water and environmental policy. The AP is solely responsible for all content. For all of AP’s environmental coverage, visit https://apnews.com/hub/climate-and-environment

What’s causing the devastating flooding in the Midwest? (2024)

FAQs

What’s causing the devastating flooding in the Midwest? ›

And linking any particular big rainstorm to climate change is difficult, Winkley said. But, as greenhouse gases warm the planet, the hotter atmosphere can hold more water. That means big rainstorms can pour down even more water, overwhelming sewer systems and flooding downtowns.

What causes flooding in the Midwest? ›

Warmer temperatures and resulting snow melt can produce large amounts of runoff in a short period of time, as each cubic foot of compacted snow contains gallons of water. During the early spring, frozen land prevents melting snow or rainfall from seeping into the ground.

What's causing all the flooding? ›

Climate models show that flood risk is growing as atmospheric rivers—the storms that cause most large floods—become more intense. Risk is also increasing due to sea level rise and slope-destabilizing wildfires.

What factor causes the majority of flooding? ›

Flooding typically occurs when prolonged rain falls over several days, when intense rain falls over a short period of time, or when an ice or debris jam causes a river or stream to overflow onto the surrounding area. Flooding can also result from the failure of a water control structure, such as a levee or dam.

What was the worst flood in the Midwest? ›

On August 1st, 1993, the Mississippi River at St. Louis crested at 49.58 feet, the highest stage ever recorded. The size and impact of the Great Flood of 1993 was unprecedented and has been considered the most costly and devastating flood to ravage the U.S. in modern history.

What is causing the Iowa flooding? ›

Heavy rains have caused record-setting flooding in parts of Iowa and South Dakota. By Associated Press.

What is causing the Midwest drought? ›

The shift into drought conditions can be traced back to an atmospheric event in early June 2022. Essentially, the jet stream made an abrupt shift and its energy changed — this shift happens about every eight to 10 days and on average about 30 times a year. When the jet stream is stable, weather forecasting is good.

Why are so many places flooding right now? ›

Global warming from climate change means more evaporation and more moisture in the atmosphere, which means rainfall can be intensified. And intense rainfall and changing landscapes make for more disastrous floods. Every 1 degree F rise in temperature can mean 4% more water vapor in the air.

What is the biggest human cause of flooding? ›

Urbanisation. As towns and cities grow more and more land is covered in tarmac and concrete - these are impermeable so water cannot soak into the ground which means the water runs over the land as surface run-off.

Why are the tides so high now? ›

These higher than normal "spring" tides occur during a new or full moon and when the Earth is at its perigee, or during specific seasons around the country. In California and much of the West Coast, they occur in the months closest to the winter and summer solstices.

What is true about the amount of damage flooding has caused in the United States? ›

Flooding continues to be the most common and costly natural disaster in the country, with flood-related disasters causing more than $85 billion in damage and economic losses in 2021 alone. These events weaken and destroy infrastructure and upend the livelihoods of families and businesses.

Where in the US are floods most common? ›

When coastal flooding and riverine flooding are broken down into two separate entities, New Jersey, New York and Virginia top the list for biggest coastal impacts, while the Lone Star State, Louisiana and California rank highest for the potential of losses during riverine events.

What makes the area extremely prone to flooding? ›

Mountains and steep hills produce rapid runoff, which causes streams to rise quickly. Rocks and shallow, clayey soils do not allow much water to infiltrate into the ground. Saturated soils can also lead to rapid flash flooding.

What state has the highest flood risk? ›

1. Florida – Florida faces the largest coastal flooding threat in the country. About 3.5 million people are at risk of coastal flooding across Florida's 638 square mile coast and 1.5 million people are at risk of inland flooding.

What is the flood capital of the United States? ›

FARGO — Red River Valley residents are familiar with flooding. However, the flood capital of America might be a little further south. Houston, the nation's fourth-largest city, is located on a board-flat coastal plain at an elevation of 43 feet above sea level within a few miles of the Gulf of Mexico.

When was the worst flood in US history? ›

In 1927 the Mississippi's levees could not hold back the water from record precipitation and 27,000 square miles flooded over seven states resulting in a death toll of 246.

What is the main cause that leads to flooding of an area? ›

Severe flooding is caused by atmospheric conditions that lead to heavy rain or the rapid melting of snow and ice. Geography can also make an area more likely to flood. For example, areas near rivers and cities are often at risk for flash floods. A flood is an overflow of water onto land that is normally dry.

What factors led to the Great Midwestern flood of 1993? ›

There was measurable rain in parts of the upper Mississippi basin on every day between late June and late July. The persistent, rain-producing weather pattern in the Upper Midwest, often typical in the spring but not summer, sustained the almost daily development of rainfall during much of the summer.

What is the main cause of flooding in urban areas? ›

Drainage systems.

Cities and suburbs have more concrete, which can't absorb water. Limited or outdated drainage systems, increased rainfall, and aging city infrastructure can cause damaging runoffs and overflows.

Which weather condition causes major flooding? ›

Flooding can be caused by a variety of weather and related phenomena, including tropical cyclones, low pressure systems, thunderstorms, snowmelt, and debris flows. Types of flooding caused by these events can range from river flooding, to urban flooding, to flash flooding.

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